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Core Concepts

Updated over a month ago

Understanding the Core Concepts Behind Every TradeDots Tool

Before diving into specific indicators and tools, it's essential to understand the fundamental market concepts that underpin everything we've built. This section establishes the "why" behind technical analysis and quantitative trading.

Think of this as your trading education foundation the knowledge that separates traders who understand their tools from those who blindly follow signals.


Why Start Here?

The Problem with "Just Use This Indicator"

Most trading education jumps straight to tools: "Add this indicator, watch for this signal, enter here." This approach creates dependency, not skill.

What happens when:

  • The indicator gives conflicting signals?

  • Market conditions change and signals stop working?

  • You need to evaluate a new tool or strategy?

  • You're not sure whether to trust a signal?

Without foundational knowledge, you're guessing. With it, you can evaluate any situation independently.

What You'll Gain

After completing this section, you'll:

  • Understand what price action reveals about market psychology

  • Know why volume analysis matters (and when it doesn't)

  • Recognize momentum shifts before indicators confirm them

  • Read market structure to identify high-probability setups

  • Think statistically about trading (probability, not certainty)

  • Evaluate any indicator or strategy with critical thinking

Most importantly: You'll understand why TradeDots indicators work, not just how to use them.


The Five Pillars of Technical Analysis

Our tools are built on five fundamental market concepts. Master these, and everything else makes sense.

1. Price Action Fundamentals

What it is: How price moves tell you what's happening in the market.

Key concepts:

  • Support and resistance (where buyers/sellers become active)

  • Trend identification (uptrend, downtrend, sideways)

  • Chart patterns (visual representations of psychology)

  • Candlestick analysis (reading individual bar information)

Why it matters: Price is the ultimate indicator. Every other tool (volume, momentum, indicators) is derived from price behavior. Understanding price action first gives you context for everything else.

TradeDots tools that use this: Chart Pattern & Market Structure, Buy Sell Signals V2, Trend Following


2. Volume Analysis

What it is: How participation levels confirm or contradict price moves.

Key concepts:

  • Volume as market conviction indicator

  • Institutional vs retail volume patterns

  • Volume + price relationship (confirmation/divergence)

  • Volume-weighted metrics (VWAP, VWAP strength)

Why it matters: Price can move on low volume (weak move) or high volume (strong move). Volume tells you if a move has conviction. Our AI App heavily weights volume factors because they reveal institutional participation.

TradeDots tools that use this: TradeDots AI App (Volume Conviction factor), Smart MACD (accumulation/distribution), all momentum indicators


3. Momentum in Trading

What it is: The rate and strength of price change over time.

Key concepts:

  • Leading vs lagging momentum indicators

  • Momentum persistence (trends continue until they don't)

  • Momentum exhaustion (reversal signals)

  • Rate of change analysis

Why it matters: Momentum drives profitable trades. Understanding when momentum is building, persisting, or exhausting helps you enter trends early and exit before reversals. Our indicators detect momentum shifts across multiple timeframes.

TradeDots tools that use this: Price Momentum Reversal, Smart MACD, AI App (Momentum Persistence factor)


4. Market Structure

What it is: How markets organize into trends, phases, and patterns.

Key concepts:

  • Trend phases (accumulation, markup, distribution, markdown)

  • Market structure shifts (ChoCh - Change of Character)

  • Higher highs/higher lows (bullish structure)

  • Lower highs/lower lows (bearish structure)

  • Support and resistance levels

Why it matters: Markets move in structured ways. Recognizing structure helps you trade with the trend, not against it. Our Chart Pattern indicator automates structure detection, but understanding it manually makes you a better trader.

TradeDots tools that use this: Chart Pattern & Market Structure, Trend Following, all trend-based indicators


5. Statistical Thinking for Traders

What it is: Thinking in probabilities, not certainties.

Key concepts:

  • Probability vs certainty (no indicator is 100% accurate)

  • Sample size and significance

  • Expected value in trading

  • Overfitting and why it fails

  • Risk management based on probability

Why it matters: This is what separates TradeDots from black-box systems. Understanding statistical thinking helps you evaluate tools critically, manage risk intelligently, and avoid the overfitting trap that plagues most retail indicators.

TradeDots tools that use this: Price Reversal Probability + Forecast, AI App (statistical scoring), all quantitative tools


How These Concepts Connect

The Integration Model

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Price Action (what)       Volume (confirmation)       Momentum (strength)       Market Structure (context)       Statistical Thinking (evaluation)

Example trade analysis:

  1. Price Action: Stock breaking above resistance (bullish pattern)

  2. Volume: Breakout on 2x average volume (confirmed)

  3. Momentum: MACD divergence + momentum building (strength)

  4. Market Structure: Higher high confirmed, uptrend intact (context)

  5. Statistical Thinking: Similar setups work 65% of the time, 2:1 R:R makes this positive expected value (evaluation)

Result: High-probability trade with multiple confirmations.


Learning Path Recommendations

For Complete Beginners (6-8 hours)

Recommended sequence:

  1. Start: Price Action Fundamentals (1.5 hours)

  2. Next: Volume Analysis (1 hour)

  3. Then: Momentum in Trading (1.5 hours)

  4. Follow: Market Structure (1.5 hours)

Why this order: Price Volume Momentum flows naturally. Market Structure synthesizes first three concepts. Statistical Thinking helps you evaluate everything you've learned.

Practice between chapters: After each chapter, spend 30-60 minutes analyzing real charts using only that concept.


For Experienced Traders (2-3 hours)

Recommended sequence:

  1. Skim: Price Action + Volume (30 min total)

  2. Focus: Momentum (45 min) TradeDots' momentum approach may differ from yours

  3. Read: Market Structure (45 min) Especially ChoCh signals

  4. Study: Statistical Thinking (1 hour) Critical for understanding our methodology

Why this focus: You likely know price/volume basics. Our momentum and structure approaches combine technical + quantitative methods. Statistical thinking explains why we avoid overfitting.


For Quant-Minded Traders (3-4 hours)

Recommended sequence:

  1. Priority: Statistical Thinking for Traders (1.5 hours)

  2. Skim: Momentum (30 min) See how we quantify momentum

  3. Review: Volume Analysis (45 min) Volume weighting in algorithms

  4. Optional: Price Action + Market Structure (1 hour) Adds discretionary context

Why this approach: You think in probabilities already. Start with statistical foundation, then see how we apply it to traditional technical concepts.


Key Principles We'll Emphasize

Throughout the Foundations section, we'll reinforce these principles:

1. Context Over Signals

Principle: A signal is only as good as the context it appears in.

Example: Bullish reversal signal in a strong downtrend = low probability. Same signal at major support in an uptrend = high probability.

Application: Our indicators detect signals, but you must evaluate context.


2. Confirmation Over Conviction

Principle: Multiple confirmations reduce false signals.

Example: Single indicator says "buy" 50-60% win rate. Three confirmations (price, volume, momentum) 65-75% win rate.

Application: Never trade single-indicator signals. Always seek confirmation.


3. Probability Over Certainty

Principle: No setup works 100% of the time. Think in edges, not guarantees.

Example: A 60% win rate with 2:1 reward/risk = profitable system. Chasing 90% accuracy often leads to overfitting.

Application: Focus on positive expected value, not perfect accuracy.


4. Understanding Over Memorization

Principle: Understand why tools work, don't just memorize rules.

Example: "MACD crosses up = buy" is memorization. "MACD crosses up when price confirmed uptrend and volume increased = convergence of momentum and participation" is understanding.

Application: Ask "why" this signal matters, not just "what" it says.


5. Adaptation Over Rigidity

Principle: Markets change. Your analysis should adapt.

Example: Momentum strategies work great in trending markets, poorly in choppy conditions. Recognize the environment and adjust approach.

Application: No single strategy works forever. Understand when to apply each tool.


What This Section Doesn't Cover

To stay focused, we won't cover:

  • L Fundamental analysis (earnings, valuations, etc.)

  • L Options strategies or derivatives

  • L High-frequency trading or algorithmic execution

  • L Forex-specific or crypto-specific mechanics

  • L Account setup, broker selection, tax implications

Why: This section focuses on the technical and quantitative concepts underlying our tools. Other topics, while important, are outside our scope.


Assessment: Are You Ready to Move On?

After completing this section, you should be able to:

Price Action: Identify trends, support/resistance, and basic chart patterns on any chart Volume: Recognize when volume confirms or contradicts price moves Momentum: Spot momentum building, persisting, or exhausting Market Structure: Identify trend phases and structure shifts (ChoCh) Statistical Thinking: Explain why no indicator is 100% accurate and how to think in probabilities

Self-Test: Open a random stock chart. Can you analyze it using all 5 concepts without referring back to this guide?

If no Review weak areas and practice more examples


Ready to Begin?

Start with Price Action Fundamentals to build your first pillar of trading knowledge.

Or, if you're experienced and want to focus on our unique approach, jump to Statistical Thinking for Traders.


Remember: This is an investment in understanding, not a race to indicators. Take your time, practice each concept, and build real knowledge. The indicators will still be there when you're ready, and you'll use them far more effectively with this foundation.

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